Before you put the finishing touches on your bracket, here are some tips…
Tune out what the “experts” are predicting. The experts have no better of an idea who’s going to win it all than you do. Seriously. In fact, they may even have less confidence in their picks than you. It’s their jobs to be bold and take risks. As is the case with preseason football predictions, it does the talking heads on TV no good predicting the favorites to win every game.
Avoid everyone’s “sleeper” picks. A “sleeper” team is usually a squad seeded from 6 to 12 that is expected to make a run in the tournament. If everyone’s buzzing about a particular “sleeper team”, your best bet is to stay away.
Value coaching experience. There are a lot of young “up and coming” coaches in college basketball these days. Real bright shining stars. And that’s great. But none of them stand a chance of winning it all come March Madness. The last time a coach participating in his first Final Four actually won the NCAA championship was 1999, when Jim Calhoun’s Richard Hamilton-led Connecticut Huskies beat Duke for the national title.
Don’t go with Client Number 9. No number 9 seed has ever won an NCAA title. Only one No. 9 — Pennsylvania in 1979 — has ever even made a Final Four.
Beware of the “Unbeatables”. When it comes to March Madness, undefeated and one-loss teams are by no means sure things. In fact, the last undefeated or one-loss team to win a national title was the 1976 Indiana Hoosiers. That’s 32 years.